Jason McIntyre
Co-host of THE HERD and FOX sports activities betting analyst
Another NFL week is on the horizon, which suggests we have now one other likelihood to win some cash on our bets.
When I took a take a look at the Week 10 schedule, there have been three matchups that caught my consideration. And in these matches I could not assist however help to the favourites.
One workforce, specifically, that I could not move up was Detroit.
But learn on as a result of I make a reasonably compelling case for why I’m backing the Commanders and Niners to win and canopy.
(All instances ET)
Sunday 10 November
STEEL WORKERS @ COMMANDERS (1 p.m., CBS)
The Steelers will probably be a uncommon public underdog on the street. Everything strains up right here for the Steelers.
Can I curiosity you in some developments?
Mike Tomlin towards rookie quarterbacks is 25-6! He’s a wise defensive coach. Mike Tomlin after a bye is 13-4. Give him an additional week to recreation plan? Say goodnight. Mike Tomlin underdog since Ben Roethlisberger retired? 20-9 towards the unfold (ATS).
You get the purpose.
Do you understand what these numbers do not take note of? Washington’s 2024 season.
The Commanders had been the very best story within the league, an offensive machine that performed 36 quarters and surprisingly scored in 34 of them. They’re 11 of 11 on fourth down!
It would be the finest offense the Steelers have seen because the opener, after they confronted the lame duck Kirk Cousins. And how do you beat Pittsburgh’s formidable move rush led by TJ Watt? You need to have a scrambling quarterback. Lamar Jackson gave the Steelers his all along with his skill to get out of the pocket and decide up chunks of yardage. In 4 video games towards the Steelers, he recorded 45, 55, 65 and 70 yards dashing.
And as a result of everybody loves developments – or likes to hate them – rookie QBs are 11-0 when favored this season. The market would not appear to have the ability to attain the Commanders.
PICK: Commanders (-2.5) wins by greater than 2.5 factors
Can the Tampa Bay Buccaneers maintain their very own in UPSET towards the San Francisco 49ers?
49ERS @ BUCCANIERS (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)
Last yr, San Francisco limped into the bye with three straight losses, and stars like Trent Williams, Brock Purdy and Deebo Samuel had been all injured or lacking time (Purdy suffered a concussion towards Minnesota).
They got here away from the journey having to journey to Florida to satisfy Jacksonville. The Jags had gained 5 straight and had been 6-2. The wholesome 49ers blasted the Jags 34-3 and reeled off seven straight wins.
This yr, the 49ers have been riddled with accidents heading into the bye, have alternated wins and losses and now head to Florida.
With Deebo Samuel, Jauan Jennings and, most significantly, Christian McCaffrey again – together with all of Tampa’s issues – how will you not love the 49ers right here?
The line began at 6, then dropped to five, then went again as much as 6 and is now headed to 7. The Bucs are coming off an extra time loss Monday evening through which their protection was on the sphere for 83 performs towards KC. they need to face the 49ers.
Not solely is Tampa’s protection leaking oil, however the offense is an injured mess as properly. They have been burned within the final three video games by Lamar Jackson, Kirk Cousins and Pat Mahomes for a complete of 12 touchdowns allowed and 0 interceptions.
It might be a 40-17 kind beating.
PICK: 49ers (-6.5) win by greater than 6.5 factors
Jared Goff, Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen headline the midseason MVP award
LIONS @ TEXANS (8:20 p.m., NBC/Peacock)
Earlier within the week, I needed to shoot on the house canine, the division chief acquired multiple house basket.
They had been selecting up Nico Collins, among the finest receivers within the league! And the offense would not look the identical with out him. The Texans are 6-13 when he would not play.
And then Collins did not apply all week till Friday, and it is unclear if he’ll play and the way a lot on the time of publication. To make issues worse, edge rusher Will Anderson hasn’t practiced attributable to an ankle damage and is not a lock to play with.
On the again finish, the Texans protection has been torched, giving up 19 landing passes, which is second-most within the NFL (Baltimore is first however has performed yet one more recreation). Houston’s pink zone protection is the fourth-worst within the NFL, giving up touchdowns 69% of the time.
So the Texans cannot cease. The offense is scrappy with out Collins. Where is Houston’s restrict?
There’s no approach the Texans are going to miss the Lions – not even with an enormous in-state rivalry recreation subsequent week in Dallas – nevertheless it’s very laborious for me to move up on the Lions right here, given the way in which this workforce goes.
In their final 55 video games, the Lions are 40-15 ATS. In 2022 they had been 12-5 ATS, second finest within the NFL. Last season, they had been an NFL-best 14-6 ATS; they’re 7-1 ATS this season.
If you hid their identify and brand you’d suppose they had been the Chiefs, Ravens or 49ers.
It’s as chalky because it sounds, however give me Detroit.
PICK: Lions (-3.5) wins by greater than 3.5 factors
Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst who additionally writes in regards to the NFL and NBA Draft. Before arriving at FOX, he created the web site The Big Lead. Follow him on Twitter @JasonRMcIntyre.
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