Patrick Everson
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
When an enormous favourite makes an enormous mess initially of Sunday video games, good leads to the remainder of the day are sometimes not sufficient to avoid wasting the lots of bettors.
This was the case with the NFL Week 12 odds. The Washington Commanders have been 10.5-point dwelling favorites in opposition to a shaky Dallas Cowboys staff. But the Commanders misplaced outright 34-26.
Add to that the truth that the Houston Texans – 8-point dwelling favorites – misplaced to the Tennessee Titans 32-27, and day for the bookmakers was virtually inevitable.
“Dallas and Tennessee’s outright victory saved us from what may have been a extremely unhealthy early window,” SuperBook government editor John Murray stated.
Sportsbook oddsmakers from throughout the nation recap the weekend of NFL and faculty soccer betting.
How about these cowboys?
Dallas entered Sunday on a five-game dropping streak, failing to cowl the purpose differential in all 5 video games. The Cowboys have been with out Dak Prescott, whose season led to Week 9. They have been double-digit losers.
This ought to have been a present to Washington, and maybe a present to the bettors.
Instead, it was a wild sport by which Dallas solely led 10-9 after three quarters. The two groups then mixed to attain 42 factors within the fourth quarter, together with jaw-dropping performs from each groups:
- KaVontae Turpin’s 99-yard kickoff return landing put Dallas up 27-17.
- Jayden Daniels linked with Terry McLaurin for an 86-yard landing to drag Washington inside one with 21 seconds left. But the Commanders missed the additional level.
- Juanyeh Thomas returns the following onside kick 43 yards for Dallas to make it 34-26.
Crazy stuff, all of it.
That upset win for Dallas blew up numerous parlays and, much more so, leisure bettors’ moneyline parlays.
Add within the upset of Tennessee and the Kansas City Chiefs — favored by 11 factors — needing a last-second area aim to beat Carolina 30-27, and the gang would not have absolutely recovered on Sunday.
“All of this stuff helped us. With about 10 minutes left in every of those video games, issues appeared dicey for us,” BetMGM senior dealer Tristan Davis stated. “But Dallas profitable, Panthers overlaying and Texans dropping received our schedule off to begin.”
Cowboys vs. Commanders: Greg Olsen, Dave Helman and Joe Davis touch upon the wild ending
Give and take
That’s to not say the viewers did not have a few vivid spots. One of them, in fact, was the Detroit Lions freight practice. Since the center of the 2022 season, Detroit is a ridiculous 32-9 total (SU) and in opposition to the unfold (ATS), together with 10-1 SU/9-2 ATS this season.
On Sunday, the Lions shut out Indianapolis 24-6, simply 7-point favorites. At BetMGM, Detroit took extra level bets and extra level {dollars} than every other staff in NFL Week 12 odds.
“The Lions and Bucs have been unhealthy for us,” BetMGM dealer Christian Cipollini stated.
Tampa Bay was a well-liked public spectacle, due to all of the uproar surrounding the New York Giants, who benched quarterback Daniel Jones final week, then granted his request to be launched. The Buccaneers have been favored by 6 factors and earned a 30-7 victory.
And with the San Francisco 49ers struggling – no Brock Purdy, no Nick Bosa – bettors have been betting on the Green Bay Packers, who have been 6-point dwelling favorites. Green Bay received 38-10.
“The Niners sport was horrible,” stated South Point sports activities betting director Chris Andrews, echoing the emotions of bookmakers throughout the nation.
More terrifying for Andrews, although, was Minnesota’s 30-27 additional time victory in Chicago.
“That sport killed us. We ended up with the Vikings -3 and we had plenty of enterprise. They have been laying down 3s with the Vikings or taking 3.5s with the Bears,” Andrews stated.
So, with a 3-point Vikings win, all Minnesota -3 bettors received a refund, whereas all Bears +3.5 bettors received paid.
“That sport ruined our early window,” Andrews stated. “We did nicely, however we might have had an enormous early window if the Vikings sport had come out of Vikings by precisely 3.”
Bettors additionally did nicely with the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday evening. BetMGM’s Davis stated the e-book wanted the Los Angeles Rams to win outright as 3-point dwelling underdogs.
But Saquon Barkley had different concepts, speeding for 255 yards – together with touchdowns of 70 and 72 yards – whereas main the Eagles to a 37-20 victory.
Saquon Barkley makes historical past with the Eagles’ victory over the Rams
On campus
Saturday’s SEC chaos actually helped offset Sunday’s Vikings-Bears end result at South Point. Top leads to faculty soccer Week 13 odds:
- Alabama, a 14-point favourite, was blown out by Oklahoma 24-3.
- Ole Miss, a 13.5-point favourite in Florida, misplaced 24-17.
- Texas A&M, favored by 2.5 factors, misplaced to Auburn 43-41 in quadruple additional time.
“It was nice. ‘Bama misplaced, Mississippi misplaced, A&M misplaced. And then Georgia did not cowl and Arkansas did not cowl. We had some huge cash for Arkansas,” Andrews stated. “And Texas did not cowl. Saturday was a very nice day.”
Georgia was an enormous 42.5-point favourite in opposition to UMass and earned a 59-21 win however did not cowl. Arkansas beat Louisiana Tech 35-14 however did not cowl the 23.5-point unfold. Texas outscored Kentucky 31-14, falling in need of being the 18.5-point favourite.
Indiana was a public underdog at Ohio State on Saturday, in order that additionally fell in Andrews’ favor. The Buckeyes earned a 38-15 victory as 10.5-point favorites.
“It was a extremely good consequence. Hard, public cash was on Indiana,” Andrews stated.
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting business. He lives in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys enjoying golf in 110-degree warmth. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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