Patrick Everson
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
The sports activities betting universe agreed: Sunday’s closing recreation was decisive within the NFL Week 13 odds market.
Yes, the Los Angeles Chargers vs. the Kansas City Chiefs would decide the winners and losers of the day.
And in the long run the victory went to the bettors.
Even although Kansas City did not cowl the unfold, the Chiefs simply received – as soon as once more in loopy, shut style – profitable a whole lot of moneyline bets for the general public betting plenty.
“If we had gotten the Chargers outright, it could have been an enormous choice, a day-saving choice for us,” Prime Sportsbook government chairman Joe Brennan Jr. mentioned. “We may have afforded to place off that strict weight-reduction plan of simply ramen for one more week.”
Instead, it appears like Brennan and maybe others can be eating on low cost noodles tonight.
Sportsbook oddsmakers from throughout the nation recap the weekend of NFL and faculty soccer betting.
Doink of pleasure for the viewers
The Chargers had a fortunate bounce from going to Kansas City and getting a 17-16 win whereas being 4.5-point underdogs. But the fortunate bounce went the Chiefs’ method.
Matthew Wright, the Chiefs’ third-string kicker, bounced his last-second 31-yard subject objective try off the left upright, however the ball was redirected by way of the uprights. Then Kansas City received 19-17. Before the sport, this was the result that South Point sportsbook director Chris Andrews feared.
“We did fairly good for as we speak. But if we lose this time, we’ll erase a whole lot of them. We want the Chargers to be fairly massive,” Andrews mentioned simply earlier than kickoff. “Outright Chargers are the important thing. We have a whole lot of moneyline motion from the Chiefs.”
This is as a result of bettors have realized that the Chiefs don’t cowl level spreads. They solely win video games. KC has did not cowl in his final seven outings.
So the general public bets KC on the moneyline, each on customary straight bets and, extra predominantly, on moneyline parlays.
It was little comfort to bookmakers when LA lined the unfold.
“It definitely would have been higher with the Chargers outright,” mentioned John Murray, government editor of The SuperBook.
The Kansas City Chiefs survive in opposition to the LA Chargers on Sunday Night Football
Bills aren’t paid
Unlike the Chiefs, the Buffalo Bills really win video games AND cowl the unfold. So the general public is completely happy to help payments in all methods, on the tip unfold, in parlays and moneyline parlays.
Buffalo entered Week 14 on a seven-game profitable streak, going 6-1 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) in that stretch. In NFL Week 14 odds at BetMGM, no workforce positioned extra level unfold bets than the Bills, who have been 3.5-point favorites in opposition to the Los Angeles Rams.
Josh Allen & Co. have been additionally very talked-about elsewhere, together with at SuperBook. But the Rams have been as much as the duty, profitable a monitor recreation 44-42.
“The Rams recreation was a giant win for us,” Murray mentioned. “We had an incredible late window. We dominated the scoreboard in these video games.”
The different two conferences in that late window:
- The San Francisco 49ers defeated the 3-point underdog Chicago Bears 38-13, who received per The SuperBook.
- The Seattle Seahawks earned a 30-18 win as a 3-point canine on the Arizona Cardinals.
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Dropped by the Jets
The New York Jets regarded like they may win in Week 14, as 6.5-point underdogs in opposition to the Miami Dolphins. New York took a 26-23 lead on a 42-yard subject objective with 52 seconds left.
But sufficient time remained for Miami to counter with a 52-yard subject objective to tie the sport at 26 and power time beyond regulation. The Dolphins then received 32-26 in OT.
It was one other scenario the place, regardless that Miami did not cowl, bettors nonetheless did nicely. Anyone with Miami on the road – in straight bets or parlays – lived, and the Dolphins have been common in teaser bets as nicely. Teasers are just like parlays, however bettors get a modified level unfold. Six-point teasers are the most typical, which might have taken the Dolphins from -6.5 to seemingly a decide ’em.
So the bookmakers wished an upset New York.
“We wanted the Jets massive time. The Browns or Raiders would have been good. All day, we wanted one thing to assist cease all our teaser motion, and it by no means got here,” Brennan mentioned.
Murray added: “The Jets ruining that recreation was actually disappointing.”
And Andrews felt the ache at South Point.
“We wanted the Jets. It was large,” he mentioned.
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On campus
The largest video games in faculty soccer’s Week 15 odds have been the SEC and Big Ten title tilts. Oregon was favored by 3.5 factors in opposition to Penn State within the Big Ten closing and received 45-37. In the SEC closing, Georgia was a 3-point underdog and took a slim defeat of Texas 22-19 in time beyond regulation.
“It was like a draw day for us,” Andrews mentioned. “Not overlaying Penn State was dangerous for us. Everybody had Oregon. But Georgia was actually good for us.”
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting business. He lives in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys taking part in golf in 110-degree warmth. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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