Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
Bo Nix did his finest to throw a pickaxe final week.
The Broncos’ rookie quarterback threw a handful of passes that hit the fingers of Bills defenders, together with an interception that was tipped within the closing minutes. These are the worst, honest bets that lose.
We nonetheless went 3-1 final weekend, and now we’re within the NFL division spherical, the place I feel there are three bets price making. Remember, this area just isn’t the place for one million picks or 5 groups. These will at all times be the video games I really like probably the most.
Let’s go to work.
2024 report: (47-44, -1.2 items)
Commanders @ Lions (-9, O/U 55.5)
Let me begin by saying that the Lions ought to rating so much. It’s an ideal matchup for Detroit’s offense in opposition to Washington’s protection, and the Commanders could have a tough time slowing down “Sonic and Knuckles.” That stated, Jayden Daniels is a weapon and his The weapons are additionally ok to get into the top zone. I really like Terry McLaurin in opposition to Detroit’s corners, and I feel Dan Quinn’s comparatively new fourth-down aggressiveness works in our favor. And the Commanders haven’t any alternative however to play 4 downs in the event that they fall behind as anticipated.
SELECTION: Total staff commanders Over 22.5 factors
Rams @ Eagles (-6, O/U 44)
The Rams are turning right into a crowd favourite after upsetting the Vikings, and now bettors are excited to catch a Super Bowl-winning quarterback who virtually touches a landing. I perceive it, however I do not agree. Philadelphia’s protection is the perfect unit on the sphere and it isn’t shut. The Rams will even lose the battle within the trenches, plus there’s so much to love about Vic Fangio’s D lining up in opposition to an offense with out a lot velocity. Saquon Barkley and that vaunted speeding assault simply have to guard the ball.
PICK: Eagles (-6) wins by greater than 6 factors
Crows (-1.5, U/U 51.5) @ Invoices
I wrote about this recreation originally of the week. Baltimore performs with an especially excessive energy score and oddsmakers love, love, love the Ravens. They liked them final yr too, after they have been 5-point house favorites in opposition to Kansas City within the AFC Championship Game. Oops. I at all times favor to lean on nice groups that play in their very own constructing right now of the season. I feel offensive coordinator Joe Brady has just a few methods up his sleeve, and I’ll be rooting for Buffalo to take an early lead and hoping Baltimore abandons the run.
CHOOSE: Bills (+1.5) to lose by lower than 1.5 factors or win outright
Sam Panayotovich is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports and BetQL Network. He beforehand labored for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.
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