Jason McIntyre
Co-host of THE HERD and FOX sports activities betting analyst
Week 12 of the NFL will likely be attention-grabbing to say the least.
We have Super Bowl favourite Detroit going through an Indy workforce that tends to maintain video games aggressive, and we now have the Harbaugh brothers going through off on Monday Night Football.
Which method will the pendulum swing in these video games?
Well, I do know the place I’m placing my cash. Read on to seek out out my finest bets for this weekend’s slate of video games.
(All occasions ET)
SUNDAY NOVEMBER 24
Cowboys @ Commanders (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)
I often do my finest to keep away from enjoying favorites in division matchups, however I really like the commanders right here.
I’ve heard this place referred to as “the widower”. One workforce (Washington) arrives on additional relaxation, after enjoying final Thursday. The different (Dallas), is on quick relaxation, having performed on Monday.
You need to marvel if the Cowboys are gone. That disheartening loss to the Texans was their fifth in a row. There will likely be no playoffs. They make a journey right here after which come again for a Thanksgiving recreation towards the Giants.
Then you have a look at the accidents. Dallas ended the Houston recreation with three offensive linemen out, and it seems two of them — Tyler Smith and Zack Martin — won’t play Sunday. Washington is in significantly better form health-wise, excluding Marshon Lattimore, who has but to go well with up on account of a hamstring harm.
Eventually, Dan Quinn spent a number of years in Dallas and acquired to see Cooper Rush in observe each day. He is aware of Rush’s strengths and weaknesses.
Even if Washington’s protection is not nice, it does not need to be right here. It appears to be like like a 30-13 Washington win. Oh, and double-digit favorites are 5-0 ATS this season.
PICK: Washington (-10) wins by 10+ factors
Blazin’ 5: Colts (+7.5) upset Lions, Eagles (-2.5) handle Rams in Week 12
Lions @ Colts (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)
It’s onerous to swallow, however I’ll.
I just like the Colts right here.
Yes, the Lions have been a canopy machine, going 8-2 towards the unfold (ATS) this 12 months, 14-6 ATS final 12 months and 12-5 ATS in 2022. So simply know that each week you assist them, you are paying a tax on Detroit.
The Colts have quietly been nice at sustaining this season, going 8-3 ATS.
Whether it is Anthony Richardson or Joe Flacco, Indy retains video games shut. Ten of the Colts’ 11 video games have been determined by one rating.
Now, here is the draw back.
The Colts will begin three rookies on the offensive line (LT, C, RG). Not nice inside towards wreckers like Alim McNeill and DJ Reader. But the Lions are with out their star middle LB Alex Anzalone. He is the inexperienced dot of the workforce, calling performs for the protection.
Can Jonathan Taylor profit from this? His Anthony Richardson numbers are considerably higher than Flacco’s, and the easiest way to decelerate the Lions’ offense is to maintain them off the sector.
If you will get 10 carries from Richardson and 20 from Taylor, AND Coming to round 35 minutes of possession, the explosive Lions will not be capable to run and conceal.
PICK: Colts (+7.5) will lose by lower than 7.5 factors or win outright
Is Jim Harbaugh’s strategy finest suited to Justin Herbert?
MONDAY NOVEMBER 25
Crows @ Charger (8:15 p.m., ESPN/ABC)
The “Harbowl” will likely be wonderful. This is a battle between two brothers who’ve AFC contending rosters.
One has the arrow pointing up (LA) and the opposite has had a tough few weeks (Baltimore).
It’s early for harm information, however two key gamers who make up the spine of the Ravens protection – security Kyle Hamilton and LB Roquan Smith – suffered accidents within the loss to Pittsburgh. Their standing on this match will likely be essential. Especially towards a powerful workforce just like the Chargers.
Speaking of run-heavy, OC Greg Roman and each RBs – JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards – are all former Ravens. They will certainly search revenge.
The Chargers’ rookie cornerbacks have been an issue towards the Bengals, however they’ve a lot much less to worry after Zay Flowers.
Jesse Minter, the Chargers’ DC, spent 4 seasons with the Ravens on the workers and is aware of all of John Harbaugh’s tendencies and Lamar’s as nicely. Every benefit appears to go to the Chargers.
PICK: Chargers (+3) will lose by lower than 3 factors or win outright
Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst who additionally writes in regards to the NFL and NBA Draft. Before arriving at FOX, he created the web site The Big Lead. Follow him on Twitter @JasonRMcIntyre.
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