Patrick Everson
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
Casual bettors are likely to guess on favorites and likewise like to incorporate them in parlays. But the NFL is without doubt one of the most unpredictable skilled sports activities leagues on the planet, and that lends itself to quite a few stunning outcomes each week.
Not this week.
Going into Sunday evening’s matchup between the Bengals and Giants, bookmakers have been calling for bets on the Giants as a result of quantity of losses they’d already suffered in earlier video games. The Week 6 favorites entered that recreation 11-1 straight (SU) and 9-2-1 in opposition to the unfold (ATS), leading to an enormous day for the gang.
Joe Brennan Jr., govt chairman of Prime Sports, mentioned: “What a shitty day in the present day within the NFL. If anybody who likes the Giants tonight, we’ve got an account prepared and ready for you.” He wasn’t the one one who had these emotions.
“It’s the worst day of the season thus far. It may get actually ugly if the Bengals win and canopy,” mentioned Zachary Lucas, director of retail sports activities for TwinSpires Sportsbook.
To his and lots of others’ dismay, the Giants neither received nor coated, which meant two issues: The favorites have been now 12-1 SU and 10-2-1 ATS, and sportsbooks desperately wanted a Jets win in opposition to the Bills on Monday evening.
Jeff Benson, director of operations for Circa Sports, posted this on X, summing up Sunday/Monday within the NFL:
Enter Monday Night Football.
The Jets trailed 20-10 with simply eight seconds left within the second quarter earlier than Aaron Rodgers hauled in a 52-yard landing cross to make it 20-17 at halftime.
New York would kick a area aim within the third quarter to tie the rating 20-20 heading into the fourth. Ultimately area targets have been a significant component within the consequence of the sport, as Greg Zuerlein went two for 4. After his fumble within the fourth quarter, the Bills drove 64 yards down the sphere in 11 performs and kicked a area aim to take a 23-20 lead.
Rodgers had slightly below 4 minutes to finish the sports activities betting aim, however was intercepted on a deep shot after Mike Williams fell simply earlier than he was about to seize the ball. The favorites completed the week 13-1 SU and 11-2-1 ATS. BetMGM senior dealer Tristan Davis mentioned: “Bettors obtained the entire ice cream this week and so they deserved it. It’s been a tricky begin to the season for them.”
Buffalo’s win additionally accomplished a number of parlays for the gang. Scott Shelton of BetMGM Nevada mentioned, “There are some parlays so long as my arm cashes the -1.5 payments.”
For perspective, that is solely the third time within the Super Bowl period (since 1966) that solely one of many favorites has misplaced SU within the sixth week of the season (1975 and 2005). I depart you with a last quote from Lucas, who feared a victory in Buffalo, as talked about earlier than:
“With the Bills profitable, it is like we’ve got PINless ATMs in our sportsbooks. Everyone’s cashing in.”
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting business. He lives in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys enjoying golf in 110-degree warmth. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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